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Hurricane Isaias: Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings for coastal Baldwin County. Gulf Shores and Orange Beach urge non-residents to leave. Storm desk →NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10 p.m. CT)

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Fort Morgan to the state line.

Storm desk

Hurricane Isaias

Hurricane Warning for the Alabama coast. Visitors are urged to leave now.

Last checked against official sources: 11:45 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10:45 p.m. CT). Updated around the clock until the storm passes. Every forecast below names the advisory it came from.

NHC Advisory 6 · 11 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10 p.m. CT)

Isaias nearing hurricane strength; Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast

Latest: NHC Tropical Cyclone Update, 11:30 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10:30 p.m. CT)

Isaias has become a hurricane. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter dropsonde data showed maximum sustained winds of 75 mph with higher gusts and a minimum pressure of 982 mb. Location 22.9N 91.9W, about 460 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River, moving east-northeast at 9 mph.

Source: nhc.noaa.gov

Max sustained winds
70 mph (75 mph in the 11:30 p.m. ET update)
Movement
East-northeast at 9 mph
Location
22.9N 91.9W, about 460 miles SSW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
Min. pressure
988 mb (982 mb in the 11:30 p.m. ET update)
Tropical-storm-force winds
Extend up to 60 miles from the center

Numbers as of Advisory 6 unless noted.

Watches and warnings

  • Storm Surge Warning: Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Steinhatchee River, FLIncludes our coast
  • Hurricane Warning: Ocean Springs, MS to the Bay/Gulf County Line, FLIncludes our coast
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish Line, LA to west of Ocean Springs, MS
  • Tropical Storm Warning: East of Bay/Gulf County Line to Aucilla River, FL
  • Storm Surge Watch: Steinhatchee River to Yankeetown, FL

NWS Mobile's local statement puts Baldwin Coastal and Baldwin Central under both a Storm Surge Warning and a Hurricane Warning, and Baldwin Inland under a Hurricane Warning. (11:17 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10:17 p.m. CT))

Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

Next NHC advisory: 2 a.m. ET (1 a.m. CT) Thu. (intermediate) and 5 a.m. ET (4 a.m. CT) Thu. (full). The cone shows where the center may go; impacts reach well beyond it.

The forecast, with its time stamp

  • Track and timing

    A turn toward the northeast and north is expected Thursday and Friday. Isaias is expected to pass north of the Yucatan Peninsula Thursday and make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf Coast within the warning area late Friday or early Saturday.

    As of NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

  • Strength

    Isaias is forecast to keep strengthening through early Friday and remain a strong hurricane as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast Friday night. NHC's forecast points show a peak of 110 mph Friday morning over the Gulf and 105 mph Friday evening as it nears the coast. NHC says rapid intensification is "a distinct possibility."

    As of NHC Advisory 6 and Discussion 6, 11 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  • Wind

    Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area Friday night into early Saturday, with tropical storm conditions beginning on Friday. NHC says residents should prepare for the possibility of long-duration power outages.

    As of NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  • Storm surge

    If peak surge comes at high tide, water could reach 5 to 7 feet above ground somewhere from Ocean Springs, Miss., to Indian Pass, Fla. (which includes the Alabama coast), and 5 to 7 feet in Mobile Bay. The deepest water is expected near and east of where the center makes landfall.

    As of NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  • Rain

    NHC: 3 to 7 inches from Friday through the weekend, with localized totals up to 10 inches, from far southeastern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. NWS Mobile: 3 to 6 inches, highest on the storm's eastern side, with localized amounts up to 10 inches possible near the coast. Flash and urban flooding is possible.

    As of NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET; NWS Mobile local statement, 11:17 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 2 more

  • Tornadoes and surf

    Isolated tornadoes are possible Friday night in coastal Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents along the Gulf Coast late this week.

    As of NHC Advisory 6, 11 p.m. ET Oct. 7

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

Official orders, in their own words

As of our last check, the evacuation orders for Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan and coastal Baldwin County are voluntary. We found no mandatory evacuation order from the cities or the county. If that changes, it goes at the top of this page.

  • City of Gulf Shores and City of Orange Beach

    Voluntary evacuation: non-residents, and residents of low-lying, flood-prone areas

    “City officials urge all individuals who are not permanent residents to leave the area immediately and relocate to a safer location. Departing now will help reduce congestion, support emergency operations, and ensure the safety of those who may be most vulnerable during the storm.”

    Joint release, 5:15 p.m. ET (4:15 p.m. CT) Oct. 7

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov + 1 more

  • Baldwin County Commission / Baldwin County EMA

    Local state of emergency; voluntary evacuation for coastal and low-lying areas

    “A voluntary evacuation is now in effect for: • Coastal areas • Flood-prone and low-lying communities Residents in these areas are encouraged to make preparations and relocate as needed before conditions deteriorate.”

    Posted after the commission's emergency meeting, Oct. 7 (Orange Beach logged it at 5:30 p.m. ET / 4:30 p.m. CT)

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 1 more

  • Baldwin County Commission

    Local state of emergency; county facilities closed Friday

    “Baldwin County has issued a Local State of Emergency to ensure rapid activation of personnel, resources, and emergency support functions. All county facilities will be closed on Friday.”

    Oct. 7

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov

  • Gov. Kay Ivey (as posted by the City of Orange Beach)

    State of emergency for 40 counties, including Baldwin

    “The State of Emergency went into effect at 4 p.m. Wednesday for 40 counties, including Baldwin County, and will remain in effect for seven days, expiring Wednesday, Oct. 14th, unless a different expiration time is prescribed by proclamation.”

    Effective 5 p.m. ET (4 p.m. CT) Oct. 7. The proclamation was not yet posted on governor.alabama.gov when we checked.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov + 1 more

  • Orange Beach City Council

    Local state of emergency (Resolution 26-202)

    “That the Orange Beach City Council does hereby declare a local State of Emergency effective on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, and authorizes the Mayor to take all actions necessary and allowed by the Code of Alabama, 1975, Section 31-9-10, until such time as the Council rescinds such;”

    Effective 4 p.m. ET (3 p.m. CT) Oct. 7

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

  • City of Gulf Shores

    Local state of emergency

    “During a Special City Council Meeting this morning, Mayor Robert Craft and the City Council passed a resolution declaring a Local State of Emergency for the City of Gulf Shores in response to the approaching Tropical Storm Isaias.”

    Oct. 7 (morning)

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

Visiting? What to do now

  • Leave now if you can

    Both cities are asking everyone who isn't a permanent resident to leave immediately. Orange Beach says all bridges will close once sustained winds reach 45 mph, and will reopen when winds subside. On the current forecast, the city expected tropical-storm-force winds Friday morning. NWS Mobile says many roads and bridges will be closed once strong winds arrive, so leave as early as possible.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov + 2 more

  • Routes and traffic

    Check ALDOT's ALGO Traffic for live road conditions and closures before you go, and Baldwin County EMA's evacuation routes page for the official routes off the island. ALDOT explains how it uses contraflow for hurricane evacuations.

    Source: algotraffic.com + 2 more

  • Your rental: call your property manager now

    There is no blanket hurricane refund rule for vacation rentals here. What you get back depends on your rental agreement and any travel insurance. Look for a hurricane, named-storm or evacuation clause, and check whether it applies to a voluntary evacuation or only a mandatory one. The orders in effect right now are voluntary. Get any refund, credit or rebooking answer in writing.

    Source: gulfshores.com + 1 more

  • Flights: PNS, Mobile and Gulf Shores

    Pensacola International (PNS) issued a weather advisory and tells travelers to check directly with their airline; WUWF reported Wednesday afternoon that PNS had not announced a closure. Delta has posted a travel waiver for Pensacola (PNS) and Mobile (MOB) covering travel Oct. 9-10, with changes allowed through Oct. 13. Destin-Fort Walton Beach (VPS) said it will close to all operations at 9 p.m. Thursday, Oct. 8. In Mobile, check your boarding pass for which airport you're using and check the airport authority site. Turn on alerts in your airline's app.

    Source: pnj.com Subscription + 4 more

  • Stay out of the Gulf

    The Baldwin County sheriff urged everyone to stay out of Gulf waters through at least Sunday, saying crews may not be able to make water rescues during or right after the storm. NHC expects life-threatening surf and rip currents. Check the official flag report; we never post a flag color as current.

    Source: al.com Subscription + 2 more

  • Events, parks and closures

    The National Shrimp Festival is canceled. Gulf Coast Media's closings list says the Gulf State Park Pier will close at 1 p.m. Friday for storm preparations and staff will assess it Monday, Oct. 12 (the list printed Friday's date as Oct. 7; Friday is Oct. 9). Gulf State Park's own page showed no storm notice when we checked. Gulf Islands National Seashore, including Johnson Beach on Perdido Key, closed Oct. 7.

    Source: gulfshores.com + 3 more

  • Get alerts on your phone

    Sign up for Alert Baldwin, the county's emergency notification system. The tourism bureau also points visitors to it.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 1 more

Live here? What to do now

  • Know your evacuation zone

    Baldwin County's zones are tied to storm category. For a Category 1 storm, Zone 1 is "All areas of Pleasure Island along with individuals living in manufactured homes, and those living in low lying flood prone areas countywide. (Pleasure Island consists of all areas south of the Intra-coastal Canal to include Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach and Ono Island.)" Larger storms add Zones 2 to 4. Use the county map and Gulf Shores' zone map to find yours.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 2 more

  • Re-entry passes

    Gulf Shores is handing out hurricane re-entry passes at City Hall and the City Store until noon Thursday, Oct. 8; city offices then close to the public. After the storm, passes will be issued at the Gulf Shores Justice Center, 312 Medical Village Blvd. Orange Beach and Fort Morgan residents: see your decal pages.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov + 2 more

  • Sand and sandbags

    Gulf Shores: Gulf Shores Sportsplex, 19025 Oak Road West (sandbags and shovels are not provided). Orange Beach: behind City Hall, 4099 Orange Beach Blvd., fill your own; a shovel is provided if you don't have one. Baldwin County: Central Annex, 22251 Palmer St., Robertsdale (bring your own bags and tools). Gulf Coast Media keeps a countywide list.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov + 3 more

  • Trash and debris

    Gulf Shores asks residents and businesses not to put trash, yard debris or bulk items at the road until the storm has fully passed.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  • Power outages

    NHC says to prepare for the possibility of long-duration power outages. Baldwin EMC says all crews are on emergency storm alert and urges members whose medical conditions require electricity to make other plans. Report and track outages on your utility's map: Baldwin EMC or Alabama Power.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 3 more

  • Schools and offices

    Baldwin County Public Schools and all county facilities are closed Friday, Oct. 9. Orange Beach City Schools has no school or school-related activities Thursday, Oct. 8, and fall break begins Friday. Gulf Shores City Schools has no school Thursday, per Gulf Coast Media and AL.com. Gulf Shores city offices close to the public at noon Thursday.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 4 more

  • Kit and fuel

    Gulf Shores: "The First 72 Are On You - Shelters will not be available for the first 72 hours after a storm." The city recommends at least seven days of food, water and supplies, and filling vehicles and generators in advance.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

Shelters and phone numbers

The county says it "strongly recommends evacuation" and that shelters are a last resort: you must register, show photo ID, follow shelter rules and may be subject to a background check. Not all shelters open at once.

  • Baldwin County Coliseum (county shelter; pet-friendly shelter at the same site)

    19477 Fairground Road, Robertsdale

    Opens: 3 p.m. CT (4 p.m. ET) Thursday, Oct. 8

    Bring bedding, medications, personal supplies and ID. BRATS will drive people to shelters while conditions are safe: 251-972-6817. The county also lists the Coliseum as its medical-needs and electrical-support shelter site; call the EMA before you go.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 2 more

  • St. Paul's Episcopal Church (VOAD community shelter)

    506 N. Pine St., Foley

    Opens: 6 a.m. CT (7 a.m. ET) Friday, Oct. 9

    Bring your own bedding, supplies and medications. Meals provided. Information: 251-256-8202.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov

Timeline

Times in ET. “Forecast” items are from NHC Advisory 6 (11 p.m. ET Wed., Oct. 7 (10 p.m. CT)) and will shift.

Wednesday, Oct. 7

  1. HappenedMorning: Isaias forms in the southwestern Gulf as a tropical storm (Tropical Depression Nine formed Tuesday).

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 1 more

  2. HappenedMorning: Gulf Shores declares a local state of emergency.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  3. Happened1 p.m. ET: Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches issued for coastal Alabama.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  4. Happened4 p.m. ET: Orange Beach local state of emergency takes effect.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

  5. Happened5 p.m. ET: Gov. Ivey's state of emergency for 40 counties, including Baldwin, takes effect.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

  6. Happened5:15 p.m. ET: Gulf Shores and Orange Beach urge non-residents to leave immediately.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  7. HappenedAfternoon: Baldwin County declares a local state of emergency and a voluntary evacuation for coastal and low-lying areas.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov

  8. Happened11 p.m. ET: NHC Advisory 6: watches upgraded to Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

  9. Happened11:30 p.m. ET: Isaias becomes a hurricane, 75 mph.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

Thursday, Oct. 8

  1. AnnouncedAll day: No school in Orange Beach City Schools or Gulf Shores City Schools.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov + 1 more

  2. Announced1 p.m. ET (noon CT): Gulf Shores stops issuing re-entry passes; city offices close to the public.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  3. Announced4 p.m. ET (3 p.m. CT): County shelter opens at the Baldwin County Coliseum, Robertsdale.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov

  4. Announced10 p.m. ET (9 p.m. CT): Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport (VPS) closes to all operations.

    Source: wuwf.org

  5. ForecastForecast: Isaias passes north of the Yucatan Peninsula and turns northeast, strengthening.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

Friday, Oct. 9

  1. AnnouncedAll day: Baldwin County facilities and Baldwin County Public Schools closed.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 1 more

  2. Announced7 a.m. ET (6 a.m. CT): St. Paul's Episcopal Church shelter opens in Foley.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov

  3. ForecastForecast: Tropical storm conditions begin in the warning area. Orange Beach bridges close once sustained winds reach 45 mph.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  4. ForecastFriday night: Hurricane conditions expected in the Hurricane Warning area; isolated tornadoes possible in coastal Alabama.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

  5. ForecastLate Friday or early Saturday: Landfall forecast within the warning area (Ocean Springs, Miss., to the Bay/Gulf County line, Fla.).

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

Saturday, Oct. 10 and later

  1. ForecastSaturday: Heavy rain continues through the weekend; NHC forecasts Isaias to move inland and weaken.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  2. AnnouncedMon., Oct. 12: Gulf State Park staff to assess the pier (per Gulf Coast Media).

    Source: gulfcoastmedia.com

  3. AnnouncedWed., Oct. 14: State of emergency set to expire unless extended.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

Updates, newest first

  1. NHC: Isaias becomes a hurricane

    Hurricane Hunter data showed maximum sustained winds of 75 mph and a pressure of 982 mb. Still about 460 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi, moving east-northeast at 9 mph.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov

  2. NWS Mobile: Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings for Baldwin County

    Baldwin Coastal and Baldwin Central are under Storm Surge and Hurricane Warnings; Baldwin Inland is under a Hurricane Warning. NWS: "If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible."

    Source: forecast.weather.gov

  3. NHC Advisory 6: Watches upgraded to warnings

    Hurricane Warning from Ocean Springs, Miss., to the Bay/Gulf County line, Fla.; Storm Surge Warning from the mouth of the Mississippi to the Steinhatchee River, Fla. Winds 70 mph. Landfall expected within the warning area late Friday or early Saturday; 5-7 ft surge possible on the Alabama coast and in Mobile Bay.

    Source: nhc.noaa.gov + 1 more

  4. Gulf Shores: Re-entry passes until noon Thursday; offices to close

    Gulf Shores will keep issuing hurricane re-entry passes at City Hall and the City Store until 12 p.m. CT Thursday, then close city offices to the public.

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov

  5. Baldwin County: State of emergency, voluntary evacuation, shelters

    Voluntary evacuation for coastal, flood-prone and low-lying areas. County shelter at the Baldwin County Coliseum opens 3 p.m. CT Thursday; St. Paul's in Foley opens 6 a.m. CT Friday. County facilities closed Friday.

    Source: baldwincountyal.gov + 3 more

  6. Gulf Shores and Orange Beach urge non-residents to leave

    The cities are encouraging all non-residents, and residents of low-lying, flood-prone areas, to voluntarily evacuate. Orange Beach Mayor Tony Kennon: "Please help us by leaving the Islands so that we do what needs to be done."

    Source: gulfshoresal.gov + 2 more

  7. State of emergency for 40 Alabama counties

    Gov. Kay Ivey's state of emergency, including Baldwin County, took effect for seven days.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov + 1 more

  8. Orange Beach City Schools: No school Thursday

    No school or school-related activities Thursday, Oct. 8. Fall break begins Friday.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

  9. Alabama EMA: Impacts Friday into early Sunday

    The state EMA meteorologist said a peak storm surge of 5-7 feet could occur along the coast and Mobile Bay, and stressed that impacts occur well outside the forecast cone. (This outlook predates the 11 p.m. ET warnings.)

    Source: ema.alabama.gov

  10. Orange Beach: Bridges close at 45 mph sustained winds

    On the forecast at the time, the city expected tropical-storm-force winds Friday morning and said all bridges will close once sustained winds reach 45 mph.

    Source: orangebeachal.gov

  11. Baldwin EMC crews on emergency storm alert

    The co-op says extra crews are on standby and urges members who need electricity for medical reasons to make other plans.

    Source: baldwinemc.com

Sources

Official sources first, then local media. FOX10 is WALA's newsroom, so FOX10 and WALA stories are listed together. AL.com and the Pensacola News Journal are marked because some of their stories require a subscription.

National Hurricane Center

National Weather Service Mobile/Pensacola

Alabama EMA

Baldwin County EMA

City of Gulf Shores

City of Orange Beach

Parks, beaches and tourism

Roads (ALDOT)

Power

Airports and airlines

Local media

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